Two firearms-related SCOTUS rulings, one featured their first major application of the Bruen test.

/u/Remote_Special_7050 What stocks are the most damaging to humanity? I'm going to buy one to ensure the price drops!

/u/whg115 Well now, its bump stocks thanks to the supreme court

This is the one questioning whether the federal machine gun ban applies to the accessory that enables automatic-like fire using recoil, made famous by the Las Vegas mass shooting. I didn't read the opinion but the gist seems to be that the court took a literal view of the terminology used in the 1930s statute rather than the government's more expansive view of what "function of the trigger" means. That's probably the textualist view whereas an originalist putting their Capone-era regulatory hat on might decide that the intention was to ban high fire rate weapons.

Anyway, it's up to Congress to fix.

Cargill was pretty straight forward. Rahimi was not, largely becuase it was the first test of Bruen's "histories and traditions" neo-originalism criterion. There's a lot more in this decision than you'd expect from the decisive 8-1 final score. For one, Justice Thomas (who wrote the Bruen opinion) dissented. Had the rest of the court not understood his test? The liberal justices wrote concurring opinions, stating their agreement with the rationale and disagreement with originalism (no surprises there).

In the majority opinion and some of the concurrences, the conservative justices seemed to put in serious work to save the idea of "histories and traditions" while upholding Rahimi's disarmament:

• Gorsuch attacked the precursor means-end test to help justify the court's new direction.
• Kavanaugh rambled at length about originalism, trying to provide insight into the court's process while more or less calling Justice Scalia the greatest American in history.
• Roberts underscored the malleability of the test, showing that it indeed would permit the temporary disarmament of a domestic abuser and public discharge enjoyer. He admonished the lower courts for failing to understand The SCOTUS Vision[TM].
• Alito was nowhere to be found. A little bit strange. Perhaps even a red flag.

Historical analogues (not twins!)

The majority opinion, penned by the Chief Justice, essentially said that historical analogues to 922(g)(8) do exist and that the facial challenge (max difficulty level) makes it a slam dunk:

Majority Opinion

The Fifth Circuit erred in reading Bruen to require a "historical twin" rather than a "historical analogue." The panel also misapplied the Court's precedents when evaluating Rahimi's facial challenge. Rather than consider the circumstances in which Section 922(g)(8) was most likely to be constitutional, the panel instead focused on hypothetical scenarios where the provision might raise constitutional concerns.

The historical analogues:

• Surety laws - more or less a civil escrow/insurance system against bad behavior. In the founding era someone could ask the judge to require a person to put up money that they would lose if they subsequently broke the law.
• "Going armed" laws - if someone had been convicted of something minor, they could be prevented from taking firearms in public.

Majority Opinion

[W]ives [could] demand [sureties] against their husbands; or husbands, if necessary, against their wives." These often took the form of a surety of the peace, meaning that the defendant pledged to "keep the peace."

I'm mildly curious about the history of these. It seems like a weird and dark scenario where someone abuses their spouse and the solution is for the offender to put up a bond and continue cohabitating. Perhaps this is why (functionally) no one had ever heard of them until now. The opinion mentions the sureties being used in a preventative/proactive way. At least that kind of makes sense, e.g. an arrangement that is kind of like a prenup demanded by the father of the bride.

Majority Opinion

Our tradition of firearm regulation allows the Government to disarm individuals who present a credible threat to the physical safety of others.

The Bruen test was indeed explicit that it didn't demand a historical twin but there was no shortage of confusion on exactly how analogous the analogue must be. Per Roberts (and perhaps only Roberts), the statute must only find a predecessor that matches "the principles that underpin our regulatory tradition". And here the court found that protective orders are similar, in principle, to surety laws and going armed laws.

Responsible

Majority Opinion

We reject the Government's contention that Rahimi may be disarmed simply because he is not "responsible." "Responsible" is a vague term. It is unclear what such a rule would entail. Nor does such a line derive from our case law. In Heller and Bruen, we used the term "responsible" to describe the class of ordinary citizens who undoubtedly enjoy the Second Amendment right. But those decisions did not define the term and said nothing about the status of citizens who were not "responsible."

This seemed rather harsh when I read it; my takewaway from oral arguments was that the government acknowledged that "responsible" wasn't a clearly-defined term but it was the word the court used in Bruen.

Solicitor General Prelogar

Like Heller and McDonald, Bruen recognized that Congress may disarm those who are not law-abiding, responsible citizens... Throughout our nation's history, legislatures have disarmed those who have committed serious criminal conduct or whose access to guns poses a danger, for example, loyalists, rebels, minors, individuals with mental illness, felons, and drug addicts.

Seems like "responsible" is a reasonable and succinct stand-in for "those who are not loyalists, rebels, minors, the mentally ill, felons, and drug addicts" and that's why SCOTUS used it to describe "ordinary citizens who undoubtedly enjoy the Second Amendment right". I didn't get from oral arguments that the Solicitor General was offering a finite classification scheme or objecting to the idea that the court might provide it. It probably could have been addressed with some dictum rather than a vehement rejection.

The liberal justices

Justice Sotomayor wrote a separate concurring opinion, joined by Justice Kagan, that essentially said "I don't agree with Bruen but I agree with the conclusion and that the histories and traditions criterion is satisfied (but it sucks)."

Justice Jackson's concurrence listed/quoted a ton of lower court decisions that expressed confusion over the originalism test. The DoJ's subsequent filing was basically "yeah, this". Specifically, in the lower courts 922(g)(1) has a lot of pending challenges and circuit splits and legal mayhem. 922(g)(1) covers convicted felons, so one would presume this is a slam dunk after the court found protective orders sufficient for disarmament. On the other hand, felonies include white collar crimes which may not align with historical principles. Damn these cliffhanger season finales!

The (concurring) conservative justices

Justice Gorsuch

But if reasonable minds [referring to Thomas] can disagree whether §922(g)(8) is analogous to past practices originally understood to fall outside the Second Amendment's scope, we at least agree that is the only proper question a court may ask.

This is some top-tier passive aggressiveness. "Alito, Roberts, Kavanaugh, and I disagree with Thomas's conclusion - perhaps because rearming wife/husband/child abusers is a bad look - but we agree that the originalism test is unambiguously correct. Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson are not reasonable minds because they don't agree. Nor are most of the Supreme Court justices of the last fifty years. Barrett might be, not quite sure about her right now."

Regarding the alternative to originalism, before Bruen the historical Second Amendment test was a means-end balancing of civil rights and social impact.

Gorsuch then says, essentially, "This was a facial challenge, don't read too far in to the decision!" And that tracks with the agenda set out by Bruen - that the court wants the chance to re-evaluate old decisions based on their new test.

Justice Kavanaugh follows Gorsuch with a longwinded attempt at reassuring his countrymen that originalism is the indeed the only choice for "reasonable minds". He begins by addressing the comment sections of the world where it is not uncommon to find the phrase "shall not be infringed" used as the Omega Reverse Uno Trump Card that defeats all gun control. Kavanaugh confesses that the Constitution is sometimes very precise and sometimes not but that it certainly does allow restrictions on the First and Second amendments. And then:

Justice Kavanaugh

In many cases, judicial precedent informs or controls the answer (more on that later). But absent precedent, there are really only two potential answers to the question of how to determine exceptions to broadly worded constitutional rights: history or policy. Generally speaking, the historical approach examines the laws, practices, and understandings from before and after ratification that may help the interpreter discern the meaning of the constitutional text and the principles embodied in that text. The policy approach rests on the philosophical or policy dispositions of the individual judge. History, not policy, is the proper guide.

Ah yes. Decisions are either political or historical or some combination thereof. And historically, decisions were made politically (especially the means-end test!) so there's the risk that historical guides might also be political, but we shouldn't think about that. Nor should we consider how so many historical decisions were inseparable from injustices that were only later solved by political means.


Regardless, Kavanaugh presents something that seems an awful lot like a false dilemma; surely there are more axes upon which to evaluate a question of law. Another possibility (that is not mutually exclusive) is that this is basically, "they're going to say we are political, but as you see from this diagram historical is the opposite of political, so checkmate".

Justice Kavanaugh

The balancing tests (heightened scrutiny and the like) are a relatively modern judicial innovation in constitutional decisionmaking. The "tiers of scrutiny have no basis in the text or original meaning of the Constitution."

Kegstand Kavanaugh wagging his finger at the last fifty years of constitutional jurisprudence is ambitious. This is, of course, not my area of expertise so I decided to reread the section of Article III that covers judicial review to see how it said decisions should be made. To my surprise, the text of Article III doesn't even mention judicial review, much less how it should be done.

Justice Kavanaugh

To be clear, I am not suggesting that the Court overrule cases where the Court has applied those heightened-scrutiny tests.

Lol. You just said the previous decisions did not use "the proper guide". Why wouldn't you re-examine those decisions that impact our civil liberties? I hope it's not for policy reasons like "being too much work" or "risks unintended consequences".

Finally, Justice Barrett's separate concurrence reiterates the "exact twin" grievance and quietly offers a pretty strong critique of originalism. Since I first read it in an NYT editorial, I'll quote that even though it's mostly Barrett's words:

David French

Barrett put her objections well. "Imposing a test that demands overly specific analogues has serious problems," she wrote. "It forces 21st-century regulations to follow late-18th-century policy choices, giving us 'a law trapped in amber.' And it assumes that founding-era legislatures maximally exercised their power to regulate, thereby adopting a 'use it or lose it' view of legislative authority."

The Thomas dissent

Justice Thomas was the sole voice of dissent, arguing that Zackey Rahimi and everyone else subject to a protective order should indeed be permitted access to firearms. And if you take the originalism test to be "the only proper question", I think he's right.

Justice Thomas

The Government points to an assortment of firearm regulations, covering everything from storage practices to treason and mental illness. They are all irrelevant for purposes of §922(g)(8). Again, the "central considerations" when comparing modern and historical regulations are whether they "impose a comparable burden" that is "comparably justified."

Thomas disagrees with the government and with the rest of the court on the applicability of surety and going armed laws to 922(g)(8), primarily because the penalty in Rahimi is the temporary loss of a core civil liberties rather than something less severe. This concept draws upon notions of intermediate and strict scrutiny when considering regulatory impact on civil rights.

Per Justice Thomas, while surety laws were preventative justice, they didn't take away rights. In the case of going armed laws, the disarmament did not apply to firearms kept in the house so the subject's Second Amendment rights were only partially impacted (in the post-Heller world).

Icing on the cake

Justice Thomas's dissent is not short, there's all sorts of ranting about the British and Episcopalians and such (going armed laws are a British thing, though, per Roberts, various US states adopted them). The Thomas opinion blesses us with the obligatory slippery slope from Rahimi to authoritarianism. And then there's, "let's just bring sureties back":

Justice Thomas

Evidence suggests that sureties were readily available. Even children, who "[we]re incapable of engaging themselves to answer any debt," could still find "security by their friends." There is little question that surety laws applied to the threat of future interpersonal violence. "[W]herever any private man [had] just cause to fear, that another w[ould] burn his house, or do him a corporal injury, by killing, imprisoning, or beating him . . . he [could] demand surety of the peace against such person."

From the originalism standpoint, it's difficult to argue with that. Well, perhaps sureties worked then. Or they may have been a disaster. Or only useful to wealthy socialites seeking a prenup-like arrangement in the days before background checks. But originalism doesn't require that they were excellent, it only requires that they existed.

Justice Thomas

In addition, to argue that a law limiting access to firearms is justified by the fact that the regulated groups should not have access to firearms is a logical merry-go-round.

Frustratingly, he omitted a citation for this.

Justice Thomas

Heller considered the District of Columbia's "flat ban on the possession of handguns in the home," and Bruen considered New York's effective ban on carrying a firearm in public. The Court determined that the District of Columbia and New York had "addressed a perceived societal problem-firearm violence in densely populated communities-and [they] employed a regulation . . . that the Founders themselves could have adopted to confront that problem." Accordingly, the Court "consider[ed] 'founding-era historical precedent' " and looked for a comparable regulation. In both cases, the Court found no such law and held the modern regulations unconstitutional.

Originalism is a double-whammy here. Not only has technology allowed firearms to become more lethal, any innovations that might prevent misuse of them are - per Bruen - unconstitutional. Since the founders didn't use biometrics to ensure it's your firearm and you're not intoxicated, nobody can.

Justice Thomas

Assuming C. M.'s allegations could be proved, Texas could have convicted and imprisoned Rahimi for every one of his alleged acts.

They sure could.

Some thoughts on my second runs of BG3 and Remnant II. Also a little PUBG twisted metal action.


I'm not sure how many playthroughs have significantly different content, but it's at least two. To be more specific, while the worlds don't change between campaigns, subareas, unlockables, and bosses do.


The Losomn sewer has a key combo puzzle that requires flashing your light at the wall scratchings. I couldn't find the last number but got it on my first of ten guesses.


Oh Mudtooth, you old coot. He's the Grandma Flexington of Remnant, but boring. But at the end of his lengthy set of monologues is an archetype (Gunslinger) if you're in the Root Earth area. Plus a pendant and ring.


Nightweaver was about as hard as the final boss.



PUBG has been good for vehicle action.



We took an RPG to the Hyundai windscreen and immediately wanted to try it on another team. The result was two exploded UAZes and eight crates.



Last time around I solved the tieflings' problems by rampaging on the goblin camp. The Emerald Grove defense was a bit more fun although I didn't realize I was supposed to light the fires.


So I guess if you let Auntie Ethel go in the first act she gives you hair that, if consumed (ew), gives a permanent stat boost. I'm trying to semi-minmax since on hard difficulty I imagine the oligarchs of Baldur's Gate will be challenging.


Stupid Halsin said I should either take the Rosymorn road or the Underdark. Last time I went road with a sense of urgency due to the eye parasite thing. Both is the right answer.


The Grymforge is a neat place to score weps, particularly heavy armor for my strength build.


Turns out that on my first playthrough I sorta ambushed the Harper ambush before they had the chance to ambush the spider guy. Getting Dolly x3's immunity buff is way better than carrying a stupid lantern around.


My go-to tactic last time was spike growth with ranged attacks. Flyers and teleporters would bypass the brambles and fight my tanks, low-tier enemies would slowly run to their doom. Nobody's managed to get the spell this time and so for the more difficult battles I've had to use wall of fire. It's okay but I miss my thorns.

I'm hoping there's some web 1.1 news just over the horizon, in the meantime the database and filter quality have grown steadily. One of my page recommendations was a post that had some good links, including an indieweb mapping project.

Source.

At a glance, this looked similar to my implementation. It isn't, like many others it connects sites (rather than pages) based on hrefs. It also seems to be abandonware, the true scourge of the indieweb.


The graph looks kind of cool but also extremely busy.

Source.

Another link from the Shellsharks page took me to The Forest. Functionally, The Forest is a blogstumbler like some of the others I've come across. It distinguishes itself with superior aesthetics. The 'about' text doesn't directly say whether or not the name comes from the dark forest metaphor.

Source.

My web 1.1 recommendations have also included a hefty dose of vaccine-related content. Part of me wants to keep these links in the database; they're historical viewpoints that represent part of the 2020/2021 conversation. Moreover, I'm academically curious about the horticultural and economic benefits of using gelatinous human remains as plant fertilizer. On the other hand, nah.

Recently, a chunk of of Google's internal search API ostensibly leaked to some SEO bloggers.

SparkToro

Building up one's influence as an author online may indeed lead to ranking benefits in Google. But what exactly in the ranking systems makes up "E-E-A-T" [Ed: Experience, expertise, authoritativeness, and trustworthiness] and how powerful those elements are is an open question. I'm a bit worried that E-E-A-T is 80% propaganda, 20% substance. There are plenty of powerful brands that rank remarkably well in Google and have very little experience, expertise, authoritativeness, or trustworthiness, as HouseFresh's recent, viral article details in depth.

Most of the bloggers' API dissections amount to "here is what the API provides (since there is no leaked algo), here is a real-world example".

House Fresh

Better Homes & Gardens never mentioned conducting tests prior to the Google Product Review Update in July 2022. You can see clearly here how, on July 6th, there were no mentions of air purifiers being tested. Fast forward to July 26th (one day before the announcement of the Google update), and they're now saying they've tested 38 air purifiers. Zero to over 30 devices in just a few weeks without any prior mention of any sort of testing. This is also the first time we see some original photos.

Having occasionally poked my head into SEOland, I enjoyed the writeups.

House Fresh

At position #8, we have Popular Science, a magazine from 1872 that was sold to a private equity firm, North Equity LLC, in 2020. A year later, North Equity introduced Recurrent Ventures, a new arm of their business that runs all the media brands they acquired. A few months later, PopSci switched to an all-digital format. Two years later, in 2023, PopSci stopped being a magazine altogether.

Somehow Google allowed private equity firms to Red Lobster them.

The Exploration Society did a family outing in Julian. And a few weeks before that, we made use of Gage's spare SD Wave tickets.



I pulled out a resounding victory in Ticket to Ride Legacy (right) despite having managed a negative score one round (left). I think prioritizing stocks made a big difference, as well as tactically oscillating between winner and loser.

Now we're playing Slay the Spire (the board game).


I've restarted the deck project, so we've spent some recent weekends around the house.

My post backlog has piled up as I've been pulled in various other directions - a deck project, web 1.1, video games. To get my writing momentum going, I'm starting with a lightweight gamespost about vanquishing the Remnant II and BG3 final bosses.

Gameplay spoilers, no plot spoilers.


Since last time, me and J finished off the Beatific Palace and worked through the loot-filled miniboss-onslaught of Root Earth. At last we arrived at Annihilation.


He wrecked us. Again and again. It had taken us a dozen attempts to beat the archvillain of the first Remnant, but here we couldn't even reliably get to his second phase. The internet offered some suggestions (namely the phase two audio cues) but confirmed our experience with the huge leap in difficulty.

The dog handler archetype includes an homage to Dead to Rights.

We went back to camp to see if there were any worthwhile consumables. I took the opportunity to research an item that had been in our inventory and found that it could be traded for a new archetype (class). And then I found that we had leveled sufficiently to be able to equip that second archetype. Needless to say, we hadn't wandered up into the rickety tower by the derelict ship to see the hermit vendor since, I guess, the intro tutorial.


Returning to Annihilation, we got him in our first go. I'm not sure if the second archetype provided stat bonuses or if the dog companions just drew a lot of aggro. Frustration: overcome. Annihilation: overcome. Importance of reading: reinforced.

Campaign p/reroll

Since Remnant was borderline-unplayable for J on the Steamdeck, a few months ago he switched to PS5 after we had put a few hours into a campaign. Switching platforms meant rolling a new character and so we kicked off a new campaign. With the second campaign now done, we switched back to the first one and the experience has been, happily, seamless. Our characters and equipment carried over just fine and the difficulty curve adjusted to our higher-level characters.

Remnant 2 seems built for replay value; while some of the campaign has been the same we've also seen new bosses, new areas, and new equipment. And then I looked briefly at a wiki that listed all of the unlockable archetypes. Wow. I'm not sure how archetype playstyle will impact replay on its own, but it definitely adds variety to subsequent runs.

A few more shots

I accidentally nuked my gallery except for this screencap.

The BG3 endgame sequence is pretty good; not too long, not too short, and it provides time to use those awesome spells and items that you've saved up. The final boss is challenging but doable in one or two attempts (I assume this is fairly universal given the level cap).

A brief rewind to Mass Effect 3: ME3 had a "build your allies" mechanic that allowed decisions and quest outcomes from throughout the series impact the final stand against the Reapers. It wasn't great. Allies were basically represented as a point score that served as a threshold for finishing the game and a gate for the 'better' endings. And despite promising to not require online play, the original release of the game required ally points from online play to unlock the 'best' ending.

BG3 has a similar alliancebuilding mechanic but executes the business end of it lot better: allies return as summonable NPCs for the final battles. Alas, only the main character can summon them, so precious actions are required to deploy the Mintharas and Dame Aylins. But it's considerably more tactical and personal than BiowarEA's galaxy strength point system.

Denouement

I was unimpressed by the post-climax cinematics. First, the narrator basically repeats "You saved Baldur's Gate, you heroic hero!" an awkward number of times with slightly different phrasings. (My Larian-apologist headcannon is that some WotC PM skipped to the end of the script and demanded that the player be fluffed as much as possible.) If being congratulated by a video game isn't sufficiently destructive to the fourth wall, well, some of these scenes show how atrocious the game's graphics look when not showing the default tactical view or the conversation view.

Reunion

BG3 emphasizes character development and relationship building so I was happy to see that the game didn't end with a montage of cheering and dismembered tentacles. There is a final reunion back at the original Act I overworld campsite where the player can catch up with their surviving squadmates. It amounts to a handful of dialogues that differ based on the outcome of each squadmate's personal quest - not great, not terrible.

New Game=

Larian doesn't do New Game+. It's somewhat disappointing, you'd think they could at least let you pass cosmetics to the next playthrough since the low-tier gear is so ugly. Regardless, like with the Divinity games I found myself wanting to do another run 'the right way'; a playthrough where I have familiarity with the game mechanics and what builds/items/abilities are good or largely useless.

"What's good/useless?", you might ask, "Isn't BG3 perfectly balanced?" Imho, lol no. While it might be possible to minmax anything to be good, elite enemy resistance and saving throws make a lot of magic and abilities pretty worthless.


Oh yeah, and there are a ton of things I didn't do in my first playthrough for reasons ranging from "it was a binary choice" to "I ran into a well-documented bug" to "old-fashioned player negligence". Some examples:

• I managed to not recruit Gale. Somehow I missed his arm sticking out of a portal next to the crash site.
• Minthara didn't make it out of the goblin camp.
• I chose the overland route rather than the Underdark.
• I didn't take the wormpill and later found out that the abilities are actually worthwhile.
• I blew up the Steelwatch Foundary kind of early and was thereby locked out of the underwater realm.
• I didn't let Astarion ascend, but assuming it's not pure evil maybe I'll let him become a turbovampire.
• Before the final sequence there is a choice between two allies, this time I'll side with the other one this time.

BG3 offers quite a few different character classes and subclasses, so even squadmates can be built differently on a new playthrough. My first character was a ranger that would summon ADS and then do some sniping. This worked especially well with large fields of brambles in front of her enemies but the summons were kind of mediocre (to their credit they drew a lot of aggro in the final battle).

For this playthrough it seemed reasonable to switch it up and go with close quarters proficiency. Lae'zel was a total badass in Act III; super tanky, three attacks, could shove people over them mountains. My other objective was to aim for a charisma build in order to pass all of the persuasion/intimidation checks.

I'll be back.

Charisma is used by sorcerors, warlocks, and paladins, so to do a charismatic tank I needed to go pally. That's fine, pacing the use of limited spell slots is not my favorite part of the game. Paladins are half-casters, so while the charismaxxing is useful for various checks, it's still somewhat wasted on his preference to smack enemies with metal rods of various shapes. Happily, cantrips are available through feats, use charisma, and give str-builds a ranged attack option (bows all use dexterity).

After a little reading I found that strong defense can be accomplished in one of two ways:

• Dexterity + light armor. Dexterity provides a big bonus to Armor Class (dodge ability and damage mitigation) as long as you don't limit it with medium or heavy armor.
• Heavy armor. Throws dexterity to the wind and simply uses the armor stats for Armor Class.

I briefly looked into doing something weird like a dextrous tank with a shield and a dagger that might focus less on damage and more on debuffs and DOTs. Alas, as far as I'm aware, inflicting status effects like bleeding requires consumables or situational weapon use, daggers don't passively cause bleeding. It's for the best though, my ranger was dexterous so my paladin might as well be strong.

But since shields give an Armor Class bonus and often can be used to knock down attackers, they fit the build.


For character race I went with a blue dragon(born) because heavy armor benefits greatly from shock resistance. Also dragons are cooler than like dwarves and half-orcs and whatever. A little wiki-reading indicated that the lack of darkvision can be remedied with Volo's eye surgery (and that heterochromia can be avoided by simply choosing Blue 3 irises on character creation.


Playthrough two commences.