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Review | 2022.06.18
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Mega-Lithium |
Jerome Powell, the current lawyer pretending to be an economist and chairman of the Federal Reserve strongly believes he can talk his way out of this. Powell went to Georgetown Law and has no training as an economist. He believes so strongly in his silver tongue that he uses nonsense phrases like "forward guidance", "data dependent", and "we have the tools". In December 2018, he caused a taper tantrum when he announced that the Fed would be reducing the pace of its purchases of Treasury bonds in order to reduce the amount of money fed into the economy. Bond yields rose and stocks collapsed. This was predictable and actually cathartic and necessary. Jay Powell, the lawyer, chickened out and got tweeted at fiercely by Trump and quickly reversed course. This sent a signal to Wall Street that "this guys a puss" and he will never take the punch bowl away. He never has. The 75 bps increase in the federal funds rate that was telegraphed, leaked and jawboned so much that if effectively became meaningless. This is against an 8.6% rate of inflation that a year ago he called "transitory". There is a forest fire and Jay Powell shows up with a squirt gun and his silver tongue. Paul Volcker was a giant, he was 6'7" and was educated at the London School of Economics, Harvard and Princeton. When inflation roared its ugly head in the 1980s, he did not go on TV, provide "data dependent forward guidance" or try to jawbone. He silently raised the federal funds rate to 20% and it took seven Secret Service men to carry his balls around. |
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I really hope this was mods trolling WSB. Pete is on-point though. |
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2022.06.15
FinishedThe veranda gets artificial grass and is finally complete. |
2022.06.23
Dall-eExperimenting with Dall-e text inputs, moving a sandbox example offline, and troubleshooting jax/cuda. |
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2023.03.16
The gauntletInvesting tidbits, inflation, and recent economics headlines. |
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2022.07.18
IndicatorsInterest rates, housing, and catalysts. |
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2021.01.26
Will Gamestop?On Friday, Gamestop had rocketed to the 70s and closed the week more modestly. I decided to fomo in; if the millennial traders were going to yeet the rich, I had better join them in case I end up against the wall some day. |
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thewertzone.blogspot.com
The Wertzone: Love, Death and Robots: Volume 1Love, Death and Robots is a series of short animated films, mostly based on short fiction published by established science fiction and fant... |
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www.brookings.edu
Understanding US inflation during the COVID-19 era | BrookingsThe Federal Reserve likely will need to push unemployment far higher than its 4.1 percent projection if it is to succeed in bringing inflation down to its 2 percent target by the end of 2024 according to this BPEA report. |
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blogs.wellesley.edu
The Challenges to the Dollar | Capital Ebbs and Flows[AI summary] The article discusses the challenges to the U.S. dollar's dominance as the global currency, exploring factors like the Trump administration's policies, the rise of alternative currencies such like the euro and renminbi, and the potential for a multi-currency global financial system. |